Tuesday, November 11, 2014

Week 11 Fantasy Football moves to make now

Arizona Cardinals fans, get ready for the Drew Stanton era. The Cardinals leave Week 10 with an 8-1 record, but quarterback Carson Palmer suffered a torn ACL - and on Friday the team had signed him to a 3-year, $50M extension, too. Stanton is a journeyman quarterback who has just 8 career touchdowns to 9 interceptions. Unless you are desperate, look elsewhere. 

If he’s available, Carson Palmer owners will want to try to add Robert Griffin III (Washington). RG3 looked good throwing and running in his Week 9 return and coming off the BYE week at home against Tampa is about as good of a draw as you can hope for. The Buccaneers are the 27th-ranked fantasy defense against quarterbacks. Week 12 is a tough draw against San Francisco, but then RG3 gets 4 straight games against bottom-13 units.  

I mentioned Michael Vick last week as a legit fantasy starter and Vick delivered as the 11th best quarterback this week. Vick remains out there in leagues and provides solid depth and maybe a spot start. In three games, Vick has stabilized the position for the Jets (he has three passing touchdowns and just one interception), and helped the team get their second win of the season over the Steelers this week. Quite frankly, I am not sure why Vick wasn't staring Week 1. 

Ronnie Hillman will be out in Denver for multiple weeks it is reported. Montee Ball is the back to own in Denver, and he reportedly has lost nearly 15 lbs in an effort to be lighter and more quick on his feet (that worked wonders for another Big Ten back in Le'Veon Bell).  C.J. Anderson is also a must own, and who knows what the split will be or who will start. Anderson sure was impressive this past week after being called into action. He had 90 yards rushing on 13 attempts and added 73 yards receiving on four receptions, including a 2014 highlight-of-the-year type play on a 51-yard screen he took to the house. 

Theo Riddick (Detroit) has started to eat into the touches of both Joique Bell and Reggie Bush, and has carved out a role in the Detroit offense. Riddick has a receiving TD in each of his last three games.

I mentioned Charles Sims (Tampa Bay) last week. He didn't do a ton in this game, but Sims did successfully make his NFL debut with 10 total touches, tying him with Bobby Rainey. Sims is the guy you want to gamble on in this offense for the rest of the season. 

Is it time to finally feed the Crow? Isaiah Crowell (Cleveland) scored his 5th rushing touchdown on the season last week, but the problem is Ben Tate and Terrance West also scored. This is going to remain a true "3-headed monster" for now. 

Carlos Hyde (San Francisco) looked quick on his feet and showed real burst this week. Hyde probably isn't on your waiver wire but if he is he should be owned. If Hyde ever became the starter he would easily have Top 10 upside and San Francisco very well may start to get him more involved down the stretch. 

Marshawn Lynch is locked in as the starting running back in Seattle of course, but Christine Michael should get mixed in more. He is the best running back in the league not starting, likely by far. It was garbage time but Michael showed what he can do with an explosive 45-yard run this past week. Michael is a must own if you have Lynch. 

Jarvis Landry (Miami) continues to be a fairly solid number three fantasy receiver. The rookie led the Dolphins this week with 10 targets and he had a season-best 7 receptions for 53 yards. Landry has had at least 3 receptions in every game since Week 2.

I mentioned Josh Gordon (Cleveland) a few weeks ago, but as a reminder Gordon is set to return in Week 12. 

I also have mentioned tight end Kyle Rudolph (Minnesota). If you need help at tight end, or want to block someone else, make sure he isn't on the waiver wire. Rudolph should return this week and the Vikings could really use his services. 

The change to Josh McCown at quarterback in Tampa Bay may be the best thing for tight end Austin Seferian-Jenkins. McCown utilized Martellus Bennett in Chicago last year, and Seferian-Jenkins is of similar stature. Seferian-Jenkins saw a season-high in targets in week 10 (nine) and found the end zone for the second time in three weeks. Seferian-Jenkins may be rounding into an every-week consideration at TE.

Other fantasy notes 
Andy Dalton's QB rating this week was 2.0 on 10 of 33 passing - literally if Dalton threw all 33 passes into the stands or spiked it 33 straight times, his rating would have been 39.6! It was the worst game by a quarterback statistically since 1960. The New Orleans Defense will be worth a play this week. 

The Cleveland Browns defense helped to limit Andy Dalton and the Bengals to just 3 points this week. They are a very attractive fantasy defense down the stretch, including this week as they get Ryan Mallett in his first pro start for the Texans at Cleveland. 

Suffice to say Odell Beckham Jr. looks like the real deal: since making his NFL debut in Week 5, Beckham's full-season pace is 80 receptions, 1,184 yards and 10 TDs

Justin Forsett (Baltimore) added another 23.2 fantasy points this week and he is quietly the 7th best fantasy running back on the season. 

Since Week 7 and over the last four weeks since being named the Jacksonville starting running back, Denard Robinson has 389 rushing yards (behind only DeMarco Murray and Mark Ingram). 

Finally, what another legendary week of quarterback play this past week. Aaron Rodgers completely undressed the Chicago Bears defense for six touchdowns...in the first half. Send that footage straight to Canton. It was a clinic of amazing throws, one after another. In that game, Rodgers threw his 16th TD pass of 70+ yards, an NFL record (at age 30 and in his prime, Rodgers is going to demolish that somewhat arbitrary but impressive record by the time he's done). Meanwhile, Peyton Manning set yet another new NFL record, now with nine games of 5 or more passing TDs in his career. Russell Wilson rushed for his third 100-yard game of the season. Wilson is on pace to rush for 889 yards (Michael Vick owns the single-season rushing record by a quarterback at 1,039). Lastly, Michael Vick became the first quarterback in NFL history to rush for 6,000 yards in their career on Sunday.